Dracula
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Post by Dracula on Feb 9, 2020 17:03:27 GMT -5
I came REALLY close to predicting Jojo Rabbit for Best Picture How come? I have suspected that would be a strong contender since I saw it at a local festival with a packed crowd and was surprised by how into it the audience was (I was, like, the one person in the theater not laughing). Beyond that I saw a lot of parallels between it and Green Book. Both won the Audience Award at TIFF, both adress issues of tolerance in ways I find sappy, and both go unexpected Best Editing Awards and non-action movies that get editing nominations have long been seen as a bellwether for BP wins. Beyond that it's gotten a lot of low level guild love. It won the WGA, it won the ACE award for comedy, and it did well with the casting and costumes guild and Waititi got in at DGA. However, unlike Green Book it's kind of under-performed at the box office. It's only made $30 million (which is less than even Parasite) whereas Green Book made something like $85 million, which suggests to me that it doesn't resonate as strongly with basic people as Green Book did. Beyond that I've just been hearing mixed things from "normies" in a way I didn't with Green Book, which seemed to have more of a stark split between audiences and critics than this does. |
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PhantomKnight
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Post by PhantomKnight on Feb 9, 2020 17:16:43 GMT -5
Well, nothing would make me happier than to see it somehow win it tonight, but even being the champion of that film that I am, I don't think it has a chance.
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donny
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Post by donny on Feb 9, 2020 17:26:17 GMT -5
Best Picture
1917
Best Director
Bong Joon-ho, Parasite
Best Actor
Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Best Actress
Renee Zellweger, Judy
Best Supporting Actor
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Best Supporting Actress
Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Best Original Screenplay
Parasite
Best Adapted Screenplay
Little Women
Best Animated Feature Film
Toy Story 4
Best International Feature Film
Parasite
Best Documentary – Feature
American Factory
Best Documentary – Short Subject
Learning to Skateboard in a War Zone (If You’re a Girl)
Best Live Action Short Film
Brotherhood
Best Animated Short Film
Hair Love
Best Original Score
Joker
Best Original Song
“I’m Gonna Love Me Again” — Rocketman
Best Sound Editing
1917
Best Sound Mixing
1917
Best Production Design
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Best Cinematography
1917
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Bombshell
Best Costume Design
Little Women
Best Film Editing
Ford v. Ferrari
Best Visual Effects
1917
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Neverending
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Post by Neverending on Feb 9, 2020 18:07:32 GMT -5
I have suspected that would be a strong contender Wait. You were serious? |
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Dracula
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Post by Dracula on Feb 9, 2020 18:16:35 GMT -5
I have suspected that would be a strong contender Wait. You were serious? Very. Will be kicking myself for swapping last minute if it fails. Another part of it is that a lot of tech-heavy "Goliaths" like The Revenant, Gravity, Dunkirk, and to some extent La La Land have sort of failed at the finish line and 1917 reminds me a lot of them so I've been resistant to predicting it and I just don't have faith in the Academy to come through for something as cool as Parasite. |
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PhantomKnight
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Post by PhantomKnight on Feb 9, 2020 18:25:04 GMT -5
Even by that logic, I'd still expect something like Once Upon A Time In Hollywood over Jojo Rabbit. Does Jojo even have any momentum win-wise going into tonight?
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1godzillafan
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Post by 1godzillafan on Feb 9, 2020 18:53:17 GMT -5
Jojo is reportedly a darling among Academy voters. Don't count it out.
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Dracula
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Post by Dracula on Feb 9, 2020 18:53:28 GMT -5
Even by that logic, I'd still expect something like Once Upon A Time In Hollywood over Jojo Rabbit. Does Jojo even have any momentum win-wise going into tonight? I dismissed OUATIH as a contender the second it failed to get the Best Editing nomination. 1917 has an excuse for missing there obviously, but it should have been an easy get for OUATIH and it failed. QT might still win screenplay and the L.A. connection could get it the art direction award but I'm guessing that the Brad Pitt Oscar will be the extent to what the Academy thinks they "owe" the movie. |
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daniel
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Post by daniel on Feb 9, 2020 20:40:37 GMT -5
No surprises so far.
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daniel
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Post by daniel on Feb 9, 2020 20:43:11 GMT -5
... except this fool, standing next to Natalie Portman, and their outfit.
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daniel
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Post by daniel on Feb 9, 2020 20:46:23 GMT -5
Poor Taika Waititi is terrified.
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Deexan
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Post by Deexan on Feb 9, 2020 20:50:57 GMT -5
Poor Taika Waititi is terrified. Due to the distinct lack of lava lamps. Doomsday |
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Doomsday
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Post by Doomsday on Feb 9, 2020 20:52:04 GMT -5
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daniel
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Post by daniel on Feb 9, 2020 20:56:26 GMT -5
Poor Taika Waititi is terrified. Due to the distinct lack of lava lamps. Doomsday _ Insert Joaquin Phoenix Joker laugh here |
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daniel
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Post by daniel on Feb 9, 2020 20:57:11 GMT -5
DAMMIT I KNEW PRODUCTION DESIGN WOULD BE MY BLOODY UNDOING
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daniel
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Post by daniel on Feb 9, 2020 21:06:48 GMT -5
AND FLIPPIN' LITTLE WOMEN
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Neverending
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Post by Neverending on Feb 9, 2020 23:30:52 GMT -5
I came REALLY close to predicting Jojo Rabbit for Best Picture and lost my nerve. You predicted Moonlight in 2016. Not gonna give Parasite a shot? Toldja |
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Jibbs
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Post by Jibbs on Feb 9, 2020 23:38:45 GMT -5
Seems to be common these days, but we have a tie!
Congrays to frankyt and donny!!
1st - donny - 100
1st - frankyt - 100
3rd - daniel - 95
3rd - Neverending - 95
5th - Dracula - 90
6th - PG Cooper - 80
7th - Deexan - 70
7th - JBond - 70
7th - thebtskink - 70
10th - #1Godzillafan - 55
11th - IanTheCool - 50
12th - The Moose - 45
Thanks for playing, and remember: change your Best Picture pick next year.
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IanTheCool
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Post by IanTheCool on Feb 9, 2020 23:39:59 GMT -5
Yikes. Did not do well.
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Dracula
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Post by Dracula on Feb 9, 2020 23:41:14 GMT -5
You predicted Moonlight in 2016. Not gonna give Parasite a shot? Toldja You didn't predict it either... |
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Neverending
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Post by Neverending on Feb 9, 2020 23:46:42 GMT -5
You didn't predict it either... I was letting you have it. Ungrateful. |
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1godzillafan
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Post by 1godzillafan on Feb 10, 2020 0:13:42 GMT -5
Woo! Top 10, baby!
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The Moose
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Post by The Moose on Feb 10, 2020 1:56:00 GMT -5
Still not at the bottom of the heap though..... |
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thebtskink
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Post by thebtskink on Feb 10, 2020 6:15:53 GMT -5
Did the academy consider that Parasite was not the best picture?
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Neverending
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Post by Neverending on Feb 10, 2020 6:44:30 GMT -5
Did the academy consider that Parasite was not the best picture? As Dracula likes to point out, as with Moonlight, it benefited from the preferential voting. 1917 and Once Upon a Time cancelled each other out. The real shocker was Parasite winning Best Director. |
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